Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 3.324718 3.524873 3.737287 3.980617 4.253074 4.550430 4.901834
2024-10-20 2.975246 3.232791 3.518510 3.862350 4.269585 4.742742 5.343726
2024-10-27 2.691338 2.977686 3.306103 3.716757 4.225741 4.849347 5.694336
2024-11-03 2.573448 2.900458 3.288701 3.794545 4.454108 5.313828 6.575720
2024-11-10 2.494644 2.861313 3.311344 3.922140 4.761401 5.931559 7.816656
2024-11-17 2.343835 2.720679 3.193951 3.855238 4.799664 6.186704 8.599459
2024-11-24 2.202095 2.581056 3.066029 3.760347 4.785439 6.362468 9.312261
2024-12-01 2.091000 2.473319 2.971413 3.701503 4.815549 6.613251 10.252800
2024-12-08 1.998873 2.384425 2.895189 3.660800 4.867217 6.910261 11.414354
2024-12-15 1.948704 2.347962 2.887538 3.718692 5.082170 7.541345 13.655164
2024-12-22 1.843353 2.230700 2.758761 3.582088 4.957626 7.513116 14.262671
2024-12-29 1.793274 2.186638 2.731185 3.598720 5.096997 8.039372 16.814462
2025-01-05 1.707721 2.096468 2.642081 3.528594 5.107875 8.381624 19.502176
2025-01-12 1.626360 2.008276 2.550744 3.447547 5.090382 8.672578 22.595243
2025-01-19 1.544708 1.915851 2.447805 3.338971 5.007418 8.797091 25.400798
2025-01-26 1.514604 1.895822 2.452696 3.412423 5.297063 10.000128 38.572533
2025-02-02 1.495065 1.889883 2.478626 3.525685 5.698133 11.794471 77.582030
2025-02-09 1.441547 1.830814 2.417059 3.475851 5.734551 12.487908 128.767453
2025-02-16 1.386971 1.767697 2.345359 3.400904 5.701548 12.941231 231.550039
2025-02-23 1.342218 1.717451 2.291596 3.354824 5.730855 13.686766 993.603581
2025-03-02 1.303465 1.674628 2.247477 3.323098 5.791144 14.644782 NaN
2025-03-09 1.282788 1.658447 2.246111 3.373999 6.075345 17.002700 NaN
2025-03-16 1.233780 1.596548 2.165165 3.260033 5.899255 16.780531 NaN